It’s Not Just Happening Here, Folks

Sean Braisted reports that the number of Davidson County voters pulling GOP primary ballots are almost as many as those pulling Democratic ballots:

With the first day in from the start of expanded early voting polling sites, it looks as if Republicans have all but eliminated the early voting lead held by Democrats in the first week of early voting.

Over 4,000 people voted yesterday alone, bringing the total from 2,529 to 6,625. Of those, 3,305 chose a Democratic ballot compared to 3,279 getting voting in the Republican primary. If those trends continue, it is likely that more people will have voted in a GOP primary in early voting than they have in the Democratic primary.

Well, the only hot Democratic race there is the one between Senator Douglas Henry and attorney Jeff Yarbro, and that affects a small part of the county. There is another race between Rep. Mary Pruitt and newcomer Steven Turner, but it’s not as fierce and there may be overlap between those districts.

One suspects that the majority of Democrats are crossing over to vote in the GOP Primary for Governor, as Mike McWherter is unopposed in the Democratic Primary.

There are two possible reasons for this, in my opinion.  First, it could be that Democrats are crossing over to vote for whomever they believe is the weakest possible opponent for McWherter, which would mean a boost for Zach Wamp or Ron Ramsey.

However, the second option is a scary one: it could be that they have determined that McWherter cannot win in November, and they are crossing over to vote for Bill Haslam, so as to prevent the more rabid aspects of the GOP from taking over the state.

I am hoping that it is the former; only time will tell.

4 comments for “It’s Not Just Happening Here, Folks

  1. Leigh
    July 27, 2010 at 2:12 pm

    Voting for a Republican in the current political climate is like shooting your self in the foot. Granted, there is little to feel good about with McWherter, but if anyone thinks they can “game” the outcome of the Republican race and come out with a moderate, well…keep passing teh crack pipe!

  2. July 27, 2010 at 5:36 pm

    Here locally (TN-1) Ramsey is exit-polling last in the Pig Primary.
    If he polls last here, he likely polls last everywhere. Ramsey’s loss would be a fatal blow to the Teabaggers and that can only be considered a very good thing.

    Wamp is verifiably dirty, and stupid, enough for McWherter to have a chance against if we (tn bloggers) back him up effectively. Haslam would probably defeat McWherter hands down.

    But…

    With the exception of a Whig or two, and a small handful of Repigs, Tennessee has historically leaned Democratic when it comes to Governors.
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Governors_of_Tennessee

    If it’s Haslam, that sucks. But at least the worst case scenario will have been avoided. A Tea Bag Traitor in the Governor’s mansion.

  3. Scott Banbury
    July 28, 2010 at 9:02 am

    Having come up voting in a state where you USED to have to declare your primary ballot choice at the time of registration, I’ve always found the crossovers in primaries, amusing. I hope your analysis of early voting is right. I’d hate to think Dems were just being lazy.

  4. July 28, 2010 at 6:44 pm

    I would like to add…

    There’s not as much motivation to vote in the Dem primaries. Who’s running against McWherter? Do I care which Democrat is my county commissioner? Hardly. Mike Clark is the only Dem vying for Phil Roe’s seat.

    On the other cheek, Republicans have to choose between regulars, teabaggers, semi-teabaggers, moderates…

    More headaches for them.

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